Pre-market & Intra-day updates

For all of the people who think fancy systems, and complex (rear-view mirror tested” methods, and ultra-fast computers, and 10 monitors, and brilliant Gurus are the path to great things in this business, I couldn’t...

The jobs number is today, and I never make bets/predictions about any one specific economic release or event. Why people feel like they need to do that, who knows. But we can attempt to gauge...

There are new videos here, and here. The major markets are quiet with a new Fed chair named, there’s tax “reform” today. The stock market “crash-talkers” have been warning (hoping) some news item would finally allow...

It is truly remarkable, and disappointing, how well-paying total incompetence is. What is very disappointing to me, is that so many people are so wildly attracted to “analysts” and “economists” and permabear websites who have...

The stock market crash caller’s warnings are continuing and these people will never give up. Although I’m wildly bearish on bonds (long-term), for years my big-picture view of the stock market is about as bullish as anyone...

There is a new video here about risk management. This week there are a couple of events which can allow for volatility, and trading opportunities on a few time-frames. The BOJ meeting on Tuesday, the Fed on...

We all need an edge at this business, the better the edge, the higher our probabilities of doing this business well, over time. Many people who strive to get an edge in this business only...

Change of character is an extremely important tool. It actually encompasses all other tools. Because to be successful at this is about risk and probabilities, actually they are the same thing. In essence, what is...

Global government bond yields across the globe are rallying today (prices falling), with the US leading the way. Back at the beginning of the year, with the world bearish on bonds, I started talking about...

The focus of most everyone is on the stock market, but the size and economic effects of the bond market is immensely bigger than stocks. In December 2015, my belief was we would see a...